Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.003748 0.004099 0.004474 0.004907 0.005393 0.005925 0.006551
2025-11-16 0.003125 0.003610 0.004166 0.004855 0.005692 0.006686 0.007967
2025-11-23 0.002733 0.003271 0.003915 0.004754 0.005832 0.007186 0.009048
2025-11-30 0.002516 0.003098 0.003822 0.004805 0.006124 0.007870 0.010410
2025-12-07 0.002386 0.003012 0.003818 0.004950 0.006537 0.008735 0.012115
2025-12-14 0.002203 0.002837 0.003673 0.004885 0.006641 0.009171 0.013243
2025-12-21 0.002035 0.002666 0.003517 0.004782 0.006670 0.009487 0.014217
2025-12-28 0.001908 0.002539 0.003408 0.004731 0.006765 0.009902 0.015389
2026-01-04 0.001822 0.002461 0.003361 0.004763 0.006980 0.010519 0.016977
2026-01-11 0.001718 0.002351 0.003258 0.004699 0.007037 0.010878 0.018157
2026-01-18 0.001631 0.002260 0.003175 0.004658 0.007121 0.011288 0.019480
2026-01-25 0.001547 0.002167 0.003083 0.004595 0.007160 0.011618 0.020696
2026-02-01 0.001483 0.002104 0.003036 0.004608 0.007343 0.012249 0.022667
2026-02-08 0.001409 0.002021 0.002956 0.004559 0.007417 0.012697 0.024357
2026-02-15 0.001331 0.001930 0.002854 0.004467 0.007402 0.012967 0.025708
2026-02-22 0.001290 0.001891 0.002835 0.004513 0.007644 0.013770 0.028418
2026-03-01 0.001269 0.001884 0.002865 0.004648 0.008064 0.014988 0.032386
2026-03-08 0.001213 0.001816 0.002790 0.004587 0.008098 0.015399 0.034425
2026-03-15 0.001154 0.001742 0.002700 0.004492 0.008054 0.015632 0.036045
2026-03-22 0.001108 0.001686 0.002639 0.004445 0.008104 0.016080 0.038359
2026-03-29 0.001079 0.001655 0.002619 0.004475 0.008312 0.016920 0.041997
2026-04-05 0.001036 0.001602 0.002556 0.004416 0.008328 0.017307 0.044381
2026-04-12 0.001000 0.001556 0.002505 0.004378 0.008385 0.017798 0.047223